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Macro-economic insights

Weekly update: week 35

In the US, Bill Dudley states that the Fed should move against the policy of Trump as their current interest rate decline helps Trump in further escalating the trade war meaning that the stimulus of the Fed actually has an invers effect on American Economy.

  • Fed moet zich tegen beleid Trump verzetten’ – FD (27/8/2019)

In Europe interest rate movement are dominating the news. Germany wants to protect its domestic savings from negative interest rates. German banks oppose this. In the Netherlands the rates on mortgages have lowered this week due to competition. Greece is lending at a rate around 1,5% which is very low in the light of the previous crisis. They are lifting their last capital restrictions as of the 1st of September. Unfortunately, the inflation has hit a 3-year low in August 2019, with 1% it is the lowest number since November 2016. The ECB will present its new policy on the 12th of September to counter the slowing economy. In the run-up to this the bond markets are already pricing in a new interest rate decline. Many investors are willing to take a negative return, even on corporate bonds.

  • Duitse banken tegen verbod op negatieve rentes voor spaarders – FD (26/8/2019)
  • Griekenland schrapt laatste kapitaalrestricties – FD (27/8/2019)
  • Griekse rente op laagste niveau ooit – FD (29/8/2019)
  • Inflatie eurozone op laagste punt in ruim twee jaar – FD (30/8/2019)
  • Griekenland trekt laatste kapitaalrestricties in. – FD (26/8/2019)
  • Hypotheekrentes duiken ‘eindelijk’ omlaag – FD (27/8/2019)
  • Waarom een pensioenfonds arm of rijk is – FD (28/8/2019)

Research Archive

29 September 2019 Research Week 39
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22 September 2019 Research Week 38
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15 September 2019 Research week 37
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8 September 2019 Research week 36
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1 September 2019 Research week 35
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25 August 2019 Research Week 34
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18 August 2019 Research Week 33
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11 August 2019 Research Week 32
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30 July 2019 Research Week 31
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30 July 2019 Research Week 29
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